Tuesday 16 July 2013

Ice Sheet Melt Uncertainty

"The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets have been reported to be losing mass at accelerating rates. If sustained, this accelerating mass loss will result in a global mean sea-level rise by the year 2100 that is approximately 43 cm greater than if a linear trend is assumed. However, at present there is no scientific consensus on whether these reported accelerations result from variability inherent to the ice-sheet–climate system, or reflect long-term changes and thus permit extrapolation to the future..."
B. Wouters, J. L. Bamber, M. R. van den BroekeJ. T. M. Lenaerts & I. Sasgen in an article published by Nature Geoscience last Sunday, but presented to my attention by the Register. This is yet another article underscoring the uncertainty of climate science in general, and specifically in its' ability to make predictions that would have ostensible policy relevance.

Naturally, news like this will go unreported in Taiwan. At best, the Taiwanese will hear that the typhoon last weekend was caused by "climate change" and that therefore we should all switch off our air conditioners etc. These dishonest buffoons ought to be fired, but they never will be.

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